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Video: David Satter vs. Hart and Simes

Source: http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/05/video_david_satter_vs_hart_and_simes.htm
Posted on Monday, May 4th, 2009 | In Market Commentary, Russia
Contributed by: Robert Amsterdam (http://www.robertamsterdam.com/) -

Just when I thought I was all done posting video interviews from my last trip to Washington, I saw Bob’s post today about the Gary Hart and Dmitri Simes article about realism, interests, and the prospects for cooperation between the Obama Administration and Russia.  In response, I have gathered together some of the last scraps of the interview I shot with David Satter from the cutting room floor, as his comments strangely seem to engage almost in a direct dialogue with the Hart and Simes piece, especially in terms of debating realism (though the interview occured a month before this article was published).  Some of my questions to Satter stemmed from an article he published in Forbes in November 2008 containing advice for Obama on Russia, including the point to “ignore the realists.” 

Taken together, the video below and the Hart/Simes piece constitutes a real “throwdown” on the U.S.-Russia relationship in these next critical months.  Please leave your weapons at the door.
At the risk of pointing out the obvious, there are several odd and intriguing convergences of opinion and
wide-open disagreements between these two camps.  One starting point is the source of these arguments. Simes, as usual, gets published by the
National Interest, the conservative bi-monthly published by the Nixon
Center, with Henry Kissinger serving as the honorary chairman of the
publication.  Satter, who publishes widely, is also no stranger to the
National Review, which was William F. Buckley’s gift to the world.  In
fact, you’re more likely to see convergence between the pages of the
leftist weekly The Nation and some conservative magazines when it comes
to Russia.

So within this strange world of powerful,
arch-conservative opinion making, we have two pretty opposing
perspectives on handling Russia … a trend which contributes to our
position here that partisan politics are practically useless in
discussing such a complicated foreign policy issue as Russia.

That’s not to say that there aren’t some agreements.  Hart, Simes, and Satter all agree on one thing – that the basic
geopolitical interests of the United States and Russia are identical. 
Hart/Simes say that “a sober evaluation of vital U.S. and Russian interests suggests that in no area are they in fundamental conflict
while Satter says that both Moscow and Washington are keen to build a
balance of power in Central Asia to put a check on China, and that “ultimately a crisis situation could arise in which the United States and Russia emerge as allies.
.
Whereas Hart and Simes make a convincing case that the most important
thing for U.S.-Russia relations to move forward would be for Washington
to drop any pretension that they can define Russia’s interests for
them, Satter appears to argue the diametric opposite.  One of the key
differences between the two schools of thought we are seeing here is
how much responsibility for the deterioration of the relationship rests
on Washington’s shoulders.  Hart and Simes believe that the United
States has a lot to atone for:  “we did not just lecture Russia, we assumed that Russian policy makers would take our lectures seriously and follow our guidance.“ 
Meanwhile Satter appears to believe that the United States is not at
all responsible for improper conduct in the relationship, and that the
burden should be upon Moscow to take steps toward a consensual center.

Both approaches, in my humble opinion, seem too extremist.  Why must responsibility for what has happened and what should happen rest with only one party?  Furthermore, taking on the realism approach, Satter argues that “there is nothing realistic about the total absence of moral principles in international affairs” – point I believe is well taken – but then continues to suggest that any policymaker willing to make the trade-off in values for cooperation somehow stands to profit financially from this relationship with Russia.  I don’t think this claim makes very much sense, and seems like a conclusion driven by conspiracy ideation and paranoia.

There are also talking points from Hart/Simes which seem straight from Russia Today, such as the question “Are we holding the Russians to a higher standard of performance than we do other nations with whom we deal?”  It could be argued that Russia receives exceptional status, but in the other direction … didn’t Putin get invited to the Bush family home at Kennebunkport?  Didn’t the EU go ahead and hold PCA talks with Russia after the violation of ceasefire terms in Georgia?  This question will certainly attract some scorn from many parties, but it is precisely in the center of the debate.

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About Robert Amsterdam (http://www.robertamsterdam.com/)
Robert Amsterdam is a lawyer and an advocate for rule of law. His blog was created to express views which may stimulate debate and discussion on topics of international interest. Robert believes that we live in a world of unchallenged impunity, and he views his blog as merely a small attempt to shine a light on issues he views as important in countries with which he is engaged. He make no apologies or pretense of objectivity - he is merely stating his opinions.

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