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South Stream vs. Nabucco

Source: http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/07/south_stream_vs_nabucco.htm
Posted on Tuesday, July 28th, 2009 | In Market Commentary, Russia
Contributed by: Robert Amsterdam (http://www.robertamsterdam.com/) -

These pipelines don’t compete, says Jonathan Stern of Oxford, because the Russian one just seeks a new route for existing supplies at 4x the project cost, while the other has no supply or purchase contracts yet.  Stern also thinks that despite Gazprom’s reach into Nigeria and Venezuela, this is just politics more than a real threat of monopoly.

From the FT’s energy blog:

Professor Stern says Gazprom needs the South Stream pipeline to
shore up its own transit. The company’s biggest problem is unreliable
transit countries, he says, and points out the company is also
suffering from the low prices set by the government at home in Russia -
its biggest market.

But for Nigeria and Venezuela? Political motives are much more
likely there, Stern believes: “No one expects Gazprom to make vast sums
of money in Nigeria and Venezuela.”

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About Robert Amsterdam (http://www.robertamsterdam.com/)
Robert Amsterdam is a lawyer and an advocate for rule of law. His blog was created to express views which may stimulate debate and discussion on topics of international interest. Robert believes that we live in a world of unchallenged impunity, and he views his blog as merely a small attempt to shine a light on issues he views as important in countries with which he is engaged. He make no apologies or pretense of objectivity - he is merely stating his opinions.

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