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Russia’s Reluctance on Iran

Source: http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/07/russias_reluctance_on_iran.htm
Posted on Friday, July 3rd, 2009 | In Asia, Market Commentary, Russia
Contributed by: Robert Amsterdam (http://www.robertamsterdam.com/) -

We often hear from U.S. observers all about the mutual interests that Washington and the Kremlin share in curbing Iran’s march toward nuclear proliferation and other indications of growing hostility, yet it’s funny how we usually see nothing but obstruction.  We’ve speculated in the past that Russia benefits most from preserving the status quo, and want to maintain their swing position.  This opinion from David Kramer is also interesting:  for one, Russia may indeed be interested in seeing U.S. diplomacy succeed in Iran (indeed they are more directly threatened), but they want to see other countries do the heavy lifting.  Secondly, they just don’t have all that much influence over Tehran.  From Voice of America:

But other analysts, including David Kramer, a former
senior U.S. State Department official in the Bush administration (now
with the German Marshall Fund in the United States), say Russia’s
influence over Iran is limited.


“I’ve been skeptical about
Russia’s ability: one – to have leverage to use over Iran, and two -
its willingness to do so, even if it did have it,” said David Kramer.
“Russia has a lot of interests in Iran: significant trade, nuclear
reactor construction, energy, arms sales. And I’ve been of the view
that Russia would much prefer for the United States and other countries
to play the role of the bad guy, to lean on Iran, to be the one pushing
for sanctions while Russia stays in the background.”

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About Robert Amsterdam (http://www.robertamsterdam.com/)
Robert Amsterdam is a lawyer and an advocate for rule of law. His blog was created to express views which may stimulate debate and discussion on topics of international interest. Robert believes that we live in a world of unchallenged impunity, and he views his blog as merely a small attempt to shine a light on issues he views as important in countries with which he is engaged. He make no apologies or pretense of objectivity - he is merely stating his opinions.

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