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Russian Pessimism

Source: http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/05/russian_pessimism.htm
Posted on Wednesday, May 13th, 2009 | In Market Commentary, Russia
Contributed by: Robert Amsterdam (http://www.robertamsterdam.com/) -

Pessimism, it seems, is blind to partisan differences in Russia.  This is from an interesting column by Andrei Kortunov in the Moscow Times.

It is interesting that Russia’s conservative “patriots” and the
diametrically opposed liberals are in many respects equally
pessimistic. The patriots hold that it is naive to think there could be
a new detente with the United States, because those in Washington’s
ruling circles always have been and always will be antagonistic toward
Russia — no matter who occupies the White House. They believe that
Russophobia is deeply ingrained in the American psyche. This explains,
for example, why the U.S. media is full of articles, editorials and
opinion pieces that are biased against Russia and, more specifically,
why NATO military exercises are being held on Russia’s border in
Georgia.

The liberals are pessimistic for a completely different
reason. They have no faith in the sincerity of the Kremlin leadership.
In their opinion, the country’s political elite is simply not ready for
a serious dialogue with the United States because it has a vested
interest in portraying the United States as an enemy, in encouraging
anti-U.S. sentiment and maintaining the “besieged fortress” mentality.

The
specter of hostile enemies surrounding Russia has traditionally made it
possible to divert attention from domestic problems, give legitimacy to
those in authority and provide cover for their mistakes and abuses of
power. That is why, according to liberals, Russia will continue to
provide support to enemies of the United States, from Venezuelan
President Hugo Chavez to Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. It also
explains why the Kremlin hawks will fight to control what they consider
their “zone of privileged interests” in the former Soviet republics and
do everything in their power to drive a wedge between the United States
and European countries.

There is an element of truth to both the
liberal and patriotic positions. Without going into detail, it is safe
to say that there is a tremendous amount of inertia that guarantees
that U.S.-Russian relations remain strained, despite brief respites of
optimism. The worsening of relations has a history dating back years
before the fallout over the Georgia war in August. The breaking point
might have been NATO’s war in Yugoslavia in the late 1990s, the war in
Iraq or the Kremlin’s bankruptcy of Yukos and the criminal case against
the company’s former CEO, Mikhail Khodorkovsky.

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About Robert Amsterdam (http://www.robertamsterdam.com/)
Robert Amsterdam is a lawyer and an advocate for rule of law. His blog was created to express views which may stimulate debate and discussion on topics of international interest. Robert believes that we live in a world of unchallenged impunity, and he views his blog as merely a small attempt to shine a light on issues he views as important in countries with which he is engaged. He make no apologies or pretense of objectivity - he is merely stating his opinions.

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