MARKET COMMENT October 2, 2009 REALITY BITES BULLS Economic reality is meeting bullish enthusiasm and the results are disappointing and upsetting.
Source: http://etfdigest.com/daveDaily.php?id=917Posted on Friday, October 2nd, 2009 | In Exchange Traded Funds
MARKET COMMENT
October 2, 2009
REALITY BITES BULLS
Economic reality is meeting bullish enthusiasm and the results are disappointing and upsetting. Bulls were expecting the economic recovery to continue and gain more steam. However, the reality is an economic recovery is going to take some time. Another negative we take away is stock prices are much too high. It would be interesting someday if the mainstream financial media would represent PE ratios on the basis of GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) or reported earnings versus operating earnings. In the latter case operating earnings deflate PE ratios making stocks sound cheaper than they are.
Volume today was higher again on selling than previously when buying. Breadth again was negative.
My apologies for the limited posting: however, we’re returning late from many errands. Anyway that’s just the way of it.
The markets are deeply oversold short-term and could rally sharply early next week based on nothing other than this condition. Bears are advised to be very cautious until this condition is somewhat relieved. Clearly however, the long anticipated correction has begun.
Next week features more earnings news than economic data.
Have a great weekend and you can follow us on twitter.
Disclaimer: Among other issues the ETF Digest maintains positions in: UDN, DBC, GLD and EFA.
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 About David Fry (http://etfdigest.com)
Dave Fry has devoted over 35 years to the business of trading and portfolio management. His registration as an arbitrator with both the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD) and the National Futures Association (NFA) attests to his extensive experience and spotless compliance record. Dave founded the ETF Digest in 2001 and was among the very first to see the need for a publication that provided individual investors with information and advice on ETF investing. Dave is a frequent commentator on ETFs and other issues important to individual investors, and his perspectives are featured in financial news sources such as the Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Investor’s Business Daily, Smart Money, Dow Jones Newswire, National Business Review, MSN Money, Yahoo! Finance, Bankrate.com, Emerging Markets Monitor, IndexUniverse.com, and ETF Investor. |
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