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MARKET COMMENT July 10, 2008 The image says it all.

Posted on Thursday, July 10th, 2008 | In Exchange Traded Funds, Financial
Contributed by: David Fry (http://etfdigest.com) -

The image says it all. I’d like to think that after 35 years of being involved with markets that I’d seen it all, but today is one for the record books.

We start out the day with “men at work” from Bernanke to Paulson. They’re an interesting pair that’s for sure. But, talk will only get you so far. Given the condition of FNM and FRE combined with Paulson’s breezy attitude you’d be right to assume that these firms will, for all practical purposes, be nationalized. Another bite in your wallet and a brush-off to Moral Hazard concerns.

Oil was up around a dollar while stocks were struggling higher most of the day. Then, out of the blue, oil shot up $3 and stocks started to cave. At their nadir indexes were sharply in the red as oil hit $5. But, in the end, that too got the brush-off as bulls stormed the futures market and got some buy programs going. Now, I know what many of you are thinking–the PPT [Plunge Protection Team, dba The President’s Working Group on Financial Markets] at work. And you know something? I wouldn’t be surprised since there wasn’t a reason for the rally and this government is determined to do whatever it takes to keep things rolling along. Let’s just say, it was a day for the professionals.

In the meantime, here’s how some prominent financial companies closed. And, as you view them ask yourself if overall stock indexes can rally with these prominent companies in the ICU.

FRE 7.95 -22.47%
LEH 17.23 -12.72%
FNM 13.02 -14.99%
WB 12.98 -9.17%
BAC 22.17 0.50%

Volume was again heavy due to program trading activity by [ahem] institutions. I don’t think there are many individuals tossing money over to their brokers in this environment. We also have two gifted blog readers assisting us with straightening out Yahoo/Finance’s reporting. It may be worse than dealing with a government bureaucracy but what the hell, it’s worth a shot.

Here’s YHOO’s data for today. You can see breadth was just so-so.

You can tell by watching the intraday action that institutions are dominating the action. I’m not referring to large registered investment advisors or your local bank trust department either. Nope, this is action from WS trading desks, hedge funds and perhaps even our “activist” government. So, remember when action becomes this chaotic and inexplicable it’s Da Boyz just doing their thing. They care not about fundamentals or anything else since they’re just living in the moment and can turn things on a dime.

I remain incredulous perhaps like you but impressed by the results of their actions.

Anytime you read a headline heralding a bear market you might as well expect things to go the other direction if only temporarily.

Have a pleasant weekend.

Disclaimer: Among other issues the ETF Digest maintains long or short positions in: SPY, SDS, MZZ, IWM, TWM, QQQQ, QLD, XLY, SCC, XLI, SIJ, IYR, SRS, GLD, DBP, DBA, DAG, EFA, EFU, EEM, EEV, IEV, EWZ, RSX, FXI and FXP.

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About David Fry (http://etfdigest.com)
Dave Fry has devoted over 35 years to the business of trading and portfolio management. His registration as an arbitrator with both the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD) and the National Futures Association (NFA) attests to his extensive experience and spotless compliance record.

Dave founded the ETF Digest in 2001 and was among the very first to see the need for a publication that provided individual investors with information and advice on ETF investing.

Dave is a frequent commentator on ETFs and other issues important to individual investors, and his perspectives are featured in financial news sources such as the Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Investor’s Business Daily, Smart Money, Dow Jones Newswire, National Business Review, MSN Money, Yahoo! Finance, Bankrate.com, Emerging Markets Monitor, IndexUniverse.com, and ETF Investor.

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