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Chile Inflation May 2008

Source: http://chileeconomy.blogspot.com/2008/06/chile-inflation-may-2008.html
Posted on Friday, June 6th, 2008 | In Chile, Market Commentary
Contributed by: Edward Hugh (http://globaleconomydoesmatter.blogspot.com) -

Chilean inflation accelerated more than economists expected in May to the highest in more than 13 years, raising speculation the central bank will lift interest rates this month. The peso rose following the news. Consumer prices climbed 8.9 percent in the 12 months to May. Last month alone prices rose 1.2 percent, the National Statistics Institute said today in Santiago.

Chile’s peso gained the most in almost three months after consumer prices rose in May more than economists forecast, boosting speculation the central bank will raise interest rates to stem inflation.

The peso climbed after the report. Chile’s currency advanced the most since March 11, jumping 1.6 percent to 480.51 per dollar at 4:59 p.m. New York time, from 488.5 yesterday.

In a separate report, the central bank said Chile’s economy expanded at a seasonally adjusted 4.1% percent annual rate in April. As can be seen below the Chilean economy has now been slowing steadily since last summer.

The 4.25 percentage-point difference between the Chilean and U.S. benchmark lending rates, along with gains in copper, the nation’s biggest export, has helped fuel a 9.5 percent increase in the Chilean peso in the past 12 months.

Banco Central de Chile, which last raised the overnight lending rate in January to a six-year high of 6.25 percent, next meets on June 10. Minutes released earlier this week show policy makers considered a quarter-percentage point rate increase at their May 8 meeting, before unanimously voting to leave the target rate unchanged.

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About Edward Hugh (http://globaleconomydoesmatter.blogspot.com)
Edward Hugh is a macro economist, who specializes in growth and productivity theory, demographic processes and their impact on macro performance, and the underlying dynamics of migration flows.

Hugh is a founding member and regular contributor to a number of economics weblogs, including Global Economy Matters, Demography Matters and a number of others.

Edward 'the bonobo' Hugh is a Catalan economist of British extraction based in Barcelona. By inclination he is a macro economist, but his obsession with trying to understand the economic impact of demographic changes has often taken him far from home, off and away from the more tranquil and placid pastures of the dismal science, into the bracken and thicket of demography, anthropology, biology, sociology and systems theory. All of which has lead him to ask himself whether Thomas Wolfe was not in fact right when he asserted that the fact of the matter is "you can never go home again". He is currently working on a book with the provisional working title "Population, the Ultimate Non-renewable Resource".

Edward also writes regularly for the demography blog Demography Matters. He also contributes to the Indian Economy blog . His personal weblog is Bonobo Land . Edward's website can be found at EdwardHugh.net.

Edward follows in detail the Indian, Italian, Spanish, German and Japanese economies. He also has a more than a passing interest in the economies of Turkey and Brazil and in the emerging economies of Eastern Europe.

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