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Sunday Morning Coffee

Posted on Sunday, May 18th, 2008 | In Current Market News, Stocks to Watch
Contributed by: Roger Nusbaum (http://randomroger.blogspot.com) -

Two things this morning.

First up is the Boomer Angst special on The Network the other night. I have to say that I was expecting a lot more people don’t plan to fail they fail to plan tag lines so kudos for that.

My brother and I spent some time chatting about the show yesterday. I noticed no mention of living below your means and Larry felt that not enough attention was paid to real estate but the one comment (he missed it and I filled him in on it) was flat out wrong.

We both agreed that “get out of debt” could have used a little more meat on the bone as far as how to do that.

One related topic that I don’t think came up but whether it did or not is something I have been thinking more about which is the unexpected. Last week we had to get two new tires for our pickup truck and it cost $400. It was just one of those things that comes up but go look at your check book (or more likely Quicken), how many just one of those things have come up in the last year?

Plumbing issues beyond your experience level, new tires for your car or dogs who eat rocks (this has never happened to us) don’t know you are retired and living on a fixed income. This sort of thing could be very problematic for executing a well devised retirement plan.

The other topic is along the lines of alternative assets from an article in Barron’s about investing in things like art, wine and fiddles (well, rare violins). The article mentioned the MEI Moses Art Index which I think I had heard of but don’t really know anything about.

In looking for the MEI Moses site I found a couple of older articles about art funds, that appeared to actually buy and sell pieces of art, that implied the funds struggled.

This chart is from the MEI Moses site (I do not know why it only goes to 2006) and you can see several instances of meaningful divergence from equities.

I had a tough time finding return numbers for the art index, there is some info here but it was not crystal clear to me the exact time covered but as of some date in 2007 the art index outperformed the S&P 500 total return for one, five and ten years.

I have no idea what anyone should expect in the future but the return seems like it has been steady so an ETN indexed to MEI Moses (I do not know how a provider would hedge such a thing) could have a place in a portfolio once it was properly studied.

From a slightly bigger picture this ties into finding close to equity returns from things that are not equities for some portion of your portfolio. If you could get a steadier 6% or 7% from things that don’t look like equities would you be interested? Some folks would be and if this ever becomes easily investible maybe it can be one of those things.

The picture at the top of the post is in downtown Juneau. Thanks for all the kind comments about Kramer. As some folks commented this goes with having dogs (or cats). A few days of sadness are worth all the positives of having dogs. You expect to outlive your dog (which is why they are not like children) so you know they will pass away at some point. Thanks again.

Last 5 posts by Roger Nusbaum





About Roger Nusbaum (http://randomroger.blogspot.com)
Roger Nusbaum is a portfolio manager with Your Source Financial of Phoenix, and the author of Random Roger's Big Picture Blog, which has been profiled in several top business publications, including Barron's and Forbes. Nusbaum has also been a financial consultant with Morgan Stanley, an investment counselor with Fisher Investments and an institutional equities and options trader with Charles Schwab. He holds a bachelor's degree in economics from San Diego State University

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