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No Surprise as Banks Announce Writedowns

Posted on Monday, October 1st, 2007 | In Current Market News
Contributed by: Chad Brand (http://www.peridotcapitalist.com) -

That’s not even really my headline. It’s what the market is saying this morning after both Citigroup (C) and UBS (UBS) announced huge losses during the third quarter. Citi plans to take $3.3 billion in writedowns for the quarter, consisting of $1.4 billion from LBO loan commitments, $1.3 billion from losses on sub-prime securities, and $600 million from fixed income trading losses. Also hitting the wires today was news that UBS is projecting a quarterly loss of up to $690 million.

So the market’s getting crushed, right? Well, not exactly. Citi stock is up 1 percent, with UBS up 4 percent. The Dow is higher by more than 100 points, and once again sits above the 14,000 level. Now, I am not telling you this as a proclamation that the worst is over and we are off to the races. I don’t know when the credit losses will peak, and there will be more writedowns in the future, even additional adjustments from Citi and UBS.

The takeaway from this morning’s action is that everyone and their grandmother knew these writedowns were coming. The stocks have been hammered because of that. The rallies today should not be that surprising as a result. It represents a relief rally because, at least for now, the losses aren’t as bad as they could have been. That doesn’t mean things won’t get worse, it just means that, for now, the world is not ending.

Last 5 posts by Chad Brand

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About Chad Brand (http://www.peridotcapitalist.com)
Chad Brand is the Founder and President of Peridot Capital Management LLC, an independent investment advisory firm based in St. Louis, Missouri. In addition to managing investment portfolios for clients, Chad writes "The Peridot Capitalist," an investment blog that has been named one of the best stock market blogs on the web and is regularly quoted on sites such as Forbes.com, TheStreet.com and Yahoo! Finance. Prior to founding Peridot, Brand graduated from Washington University in St. Louis and worked in the corporate finance department at Express Scripts, Inc, an $18 billion per year pharmacy benefits management company.

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