Knowing the Market’s Mood is Better than Guessing What Comes Next
Source: http://marketmovers.blogspot.com/2008/01/knowing-markets-mood-is-better-than.htmlPosted on Thursday, January 24th, 2008 | In Current Market News, Stocks to Watch
Figuring out exactly what the market will do at the very next moment is tough to do. Understanding what mood the market is in, however, proves to be not only easier, but eventually leads to better accuracy about what comes next.
The beauty of Trade-Ideas’ tools is that you get to ask and answer your questions about the market’s mood.
Trade-Ideas allows you to develop any theme or behavior about the market like,
- “Are recent new lows enticing buyers?”
- “Do bounces in this market have strength or are they dead cats?”
- “Do any of these themes behave differently in the afternoon than in the morning?”
- “What are the odds of a winning trade on any of these themes in the market right now?”
Aren’t these better questions to be asking than “Is this stock going up or down?”
Subscribers who use The OddsMaker (our event-based backtesting tool) already know how to answer the last 2 questions in particular. But everyone can answer all these questions with some observations of a strategy/theme’s real-time results or even a look at its History.
I’m linking to a previous post that highlights some ways to model these questions. Take a look and further modify them to fit your unique trading plan. If you are a subscriber to TI Pro but don’t use The OddsMaker (yet), leave me a comment with your take on how these themes would work in your trading plan or any other questions, and I’ll add credits for your free use of our backtesting tool.
Last 5 posts by David Aferiat
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Accuracy, Beauty, Bounces, Current Market News, Dead Cats, Leads, Lows, Odds, Oddsmaker, Real Time, stock, Stocks to Watch, Subscriber, Subscribers, Themes, Time Results, Tools, Unique Trading
![]() About David Aferiat (http://www.trade-ideas.com/)
David brings more than 11 years of experience in trading, consulting, software, utilities, capital markets, and consumer product industries. Working with senior officers and key decision makers in the board room, finance, HR, marketing and trading functions, he has advised both public and privately held companies with revenues ranging from $20 million to $14 billion. Work at Trade-Ideas taps experience in business development, customer acquisition and retention, corporate strategy as well as energy trading and marketing. David holds dual Bachelor of Arts degrees in Economics and French from the University of Texas at Austin and a Masters of Business Administration degree from the Cox School of Business at Southern Methodist University. In four years Trade Ideas has grown to over 35,000 accounts in 19 different countries. Hedge funds, Asset Managers, Institutions, Online Brokers, and direct access traders use the software as a premier idea generation, risk management, and decision support tool. |



