Hey Hey Hey We’re Back!
Source: http://randomroger.blogspot.com/2008/08/hey-hey-hey-were-back.htmlPosted on Saturday, August 2nd, 2008 | In Current Market News, Market Commentary
After a bizarre temporary, automated shutdown of the blog it looks like we are back.
The other day I commented on a recommendation from TV about buying Mastercard (MA), then around $255, and selling the August 270 call for $12. The commentator viewed the earnings report that came out yesterday as a potential (positive??) catalyst for the stock.
My comment on Tuesday was;
Big call premiums are often a siren song that some cannot resist. One observation I would make is that often when there are big premiums, the premiums are big for a reason.
After the segment on Monday the stock went up to $270 on Tuesday and then worked lower the rest of the week, it got as low as $225 on Friday before closing at $237.
The action of this past week shows that the stock could easily trade back above the $255 where the stock was recommended or even above the $270 strike price. As the title of that Tuesday post suggested that was a lot of juice volatility.
That the stock so quickly moved beyond the amount of the fat premium as I suggested as being possible does not represent any sort of knowledge about the stock or its earnings but very simply this is a frequent occurrence in these sorts of situations. It will repeat many times over.
Buying a stock because it has a lotta option juice is probably the wrong way to come at this. If a stock you like has a lot of juice and you want to take advantage of that, ok, you are coming at it from owning the stock and selling an occasional option as opposed to saying to yourself ok, where can I find some juice.
Last 5 posts by Roger Nusbaum
- Process Drilldown - October 23rd, 2009
- Sunday Morning Coffee 10-18-09 - October 18th, 2009
- A Little Followup From This Morning - October 8th, 2009
- Wednesday Roundup - October 7th, 2009
- The Big Picture for the Week of October 4, 2009 - October 3rd, 2009
![]() About Roger Nusbaum (http://randomroger.blogspot.com)
Roger Nusbaum is a portfolio manager with Your Source Financial of Phoenix, and the author of Random Roger's Big Picture Blog, which has been profiled in several top business publications, including Barron's and Forbes. Nusbaum has also been a financial consultant with Morgan Stanley, an investment counselor with Fisher Investments and an institutional equities and options trader with Charles Schwab. He holds a bachelor's degree in economics from San Diego State University |



