To any rational person this seems like a simple, logical idea. Unfortunately people tend to be irrational if it means it could save them money in the short term. But what happens over the long term? To answer that we turn to EconomistMom:

the deficit as a share of the economy (GDP) would actually fall from 1.2% in 2007 to 1.0% in 2030, but would then start to grow (even with expired tax cuts) to 4.6% by 2050, and to 18.1% by 2082. (The dramatic rise of the deficit in later years, despite revenues as a share of GDP growing from 18.8% in 2007 to 25.5% by 2082, shows that the longer-term problem is much more from rising health care costs than from deficient revenue.) But under the scenario where extension of the Bush tax cuts and AMT relief is entirely deficit financed, deficits/GDP rise to 6.1% in 2030 (more than 6 times the 1.0% when paid for), 15.0% in 2050 (more than 3 times the 4.6% when paid for), and 39.3% by 2082 (more than 2 times the 18.1% when paid for).

So next you hear McCain or Obama speaking about their tax cuts, take a moment to think about how those cuts will be funded. Because as of right now, neither candidate’s plan does that question justice.

~Invest this!

Last 5 posts by Jeffrey Miller

• A Tough Nut to Crack - October 29th, 2009
• ETF Update: Looking to the Internet - October 25th, 2009
• Healthcare Reform Becoming Less Likely - October 21st, 2009
• ETF Update: Another Look at the Banks - October 18th, 2009
• Identifying Quackery (and Other Mistakes) - October 6th, 2009