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[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]




Sprott: US Gov Dead Man Walking

Alex Stanczyk (October 21st, 2009) Writes:
I have been talking for a time about the US Gov buying its own debt. I do not think they will stop with the QE. They cant. They cant because they will not be able to keep the lights on for one, but also because they cant allow a major financial institution to fail or we have global dominoes and a collapse of the financial system. What does that mean? Hyperinflation at some point. I sure hope you have taken measures to protect yourself. I have and sleep well at night. Hedge manager Sprott sees trouble when easing ends US government is new “dead man walking”, investor says By Alistair Barr, MarketWatch NEW YORK (MarketWatch) – When so-called quantitative easing by central banks ends, the world economy may slip back into trouble, Canadian hedge fund manager Eric Sprott ...

OECD: Global Economic Recovery to Start Sooner Than Expected, but Caution Remains

Money Morning (September 4th, 2009) Writes:

The $300 Trillion “Recovery” No One’s Talking About The biggest mega trend in 100 years is already taking over half the world. Early investors could stand to make initial gains of 237%, 139%, 163%, 356%, 341%, and 600% on six companies driving this trend. Click here for details.

The worst global recession since World War II is ending faster than previously thought, but the recovery will still be a slow one, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) said today (Thursday).

For the combined economy across the Group of Seven (G7) nations, the OECD expects a contraction of 3.7% this year, down from the 4.1% drop it projected in June. Still, the organization sees ample spare production capacity, low levels of profitability, rising unemployment and “anemic” growth in incomes will keep an uptick in consumer demand in check, and it says the need remains high for businesses …

Key Indicators Point to a Rough September for U.S. Stocks

William Patalon (September 1st, 2009) Writes:

[Editor's Note: The global economic recovery will create an estimated $300 trillion worth of global-investing-profit opportunities. To find out how to capitalize and profit, you just need to know where to look. And for that, you need a guide. As part of a new report, Money Morning Investment Director Keith Fitz-Gerald details " the $300 trillion global recovery that nobody's talking about" - as well as the six "lifetime" profit playsthis powerful global money wave will open up to those who understand what's really playing out on the global investing stage right now. To read this report, please click here.]

When the “Great Crash” came in 1929, it came in October. So, too, did the infamous “Crash of ‘87.” And last year, during a tortuous October that led to even lower lows in the months to come, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index

Just Who’s Buying This Rally?

Graham Summers (August 12th, 2009) Writes:

Roughly 30% of US household wealth was destroyed by the collapse in housing and the 2008 Crash. Currently it stands at about $15 trillion, down % from $22 trillion at the 2007 peak. For simplicity’s sake, we’ll call this “assets.”

Now, consider that total US household debt stands at $13 trillion ($2.5 trillion in credit and $10.4 trillion in mortgage). As we noted in previous issues, consumers have only paid off about $50 billion in credit (about 2% of this).

Thus we have US household equity at about $2 trillion.

Because consumers can no longer use their homes as ATMs (the home equity line of credit era is over), if we’re going to track how much US household money has flowed into the stock market, we need to focus on money market funds: the proverbial “sidelines” of the stock market.

Well, since March 2009, only $400 billion has flowed out of money market funds. …

The Bear Market is NOT Over and Stocks WILL Crash this Fall Pt 2

Graham Summers (August 4th, 2009) Writes:

Yesterday we detailed the different between this current economic contraction, and your usual run of the mill plain vanilla recessions. We also went over the MASSIVE consumer credit contraction that needs to occur before American households have finished de-leveraging.

Today, we’re detailing why stocks will Crash this coming fall. As you know the media is rife with folks calling the end of the recession and the beginning of a new bull market. It’s clear to me that this is a load of nonsense. Today I’ll show you why.

Because a lot of the alleged “analysis” that is backing up the bulls’ claims of a new bull market comes from technical analysis and charts, I’m presenting the below chart from David Rosenberg of Gluskin Shef. It charts today’s bear market over that of 1929-1932.

As you can see, today’s bear market is mirroring that of the ‘30s almost to perfection. Indeed, …

The Bear Market is NOT Over And Stocks Will CRASH This Fall

Graham Summers (August 3rd, 2009) Writes:

A lot of commentators have begun heralding a new bull market in stocks. Day after day, I hear that March was THE bottom, that the next bull market has begun, and that anyone betting on another collapse is a moron.

These claims are not only wrong, they are completely misleading and should be depicted for what they are: nonsensical hype from sources with conflicted interests: folks whose jobs and income stem largely from people remaining bullish.

More often than not, these are the same guys who claimed that Bear Stearns marked the end of the Financial Crisis (how’d that work out?) and that the Federal Reserve can pump our way back into a bull market (how’s that working out?).

The reason this is entirely wrong is because this recession is not your average run of the mill excess inventory recession: the kind of economic contraction we’ve experienced post-WWII.

No, this is a DE-flationary debt …

Why the Obama Stimulus Has Us on a Collision Course with Inflation

William Patalon (August 3rd, 2009) Writes:

Has the massive Obama stimulus plan put us on a collision course with virulent inflation?

It sure looks that way.

Let me explain …

When the U.S. Commerce Department on Friday said the U.S. economy contracted at a 1% annual pace in the second quarter, the report was actually seen as good news: It was a slower decline than in each of the two prior quarters, and economists had expected a contraction of 1.5%.

“This is good news,” Nariman Behravesh, an economist with IHS Global Insight Inc. (NYSE: IHS), told The San Francisco Chronicle.

But here’s the wild card: Although government spending did increase during the April-to-June quarter, only about 7.7% – $60.4 billion – of U.S. President Barack Obama’s stimulus package had actually made its way into the U.S. economy by June 30, the quarter’s official conclusion. Of that total, the largest component went to U.S. states to …

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U.S. GDP Contraction Slows, but the Road to Recovery Will Be Rocky

Peter D. Schiff (August 3rd, 2009) Writes:

Peter Schiff: Why this Money Should Replace the U.S. Dollar There’s a new universal currency, backed by solid gold. You can use it to make online purchases anywhere in the world. Converting some money to the new currency takes just 5 minutes. You can start with as little as $10…or as much as $10 million. According to CNBC star analyst and Euro Pacific Capital President Peter Schiff, this money could double the value of your savings – automatically – in just 6-9 months. For Schiff’s full analysis and recommendations, please go here.

While the many of the world’s economies continue to look for signs of growth, the U.S. economy took a big step in the right the direction in the second quarter.

U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) shrank 1% in the second quarter, following the first quarter’s 6.4% drop. The $787 billion Obama stimulus package, smaller decreases in business spending …

Bank Stock Outlook: Will First-Half Gains Give Way to Second-Half Pain?

Money Morning (July 29th, 2009) Writes:

[Editor's Note: After more than a year of chaos and controversy, some of the leading U.S. banks saw their stock prices soar during the second quarter. As part of its mid-year forecast series, Money Morning examines the outlook for U.S. banks for the rest of this year. To see earlier stories from our mid-year forecast series, please click here.] By Martin Hutchinson Contributing Editor Money Morning

Can U.S. bank stocks continue their winning streak?

In February, I analyzed the top 12 U.S. banks to determine whether they really needed $1.5 trillion in taxpayer-provided bailout capital. I concluded that only a few of those banks seemed to be in any danger of collapse, and actually recommended several.

Policymakers and the market later came to agree with me: The Standard & Poor’s 500 Financial Index has more than doubled from its March low and several bank stocks have posted triple-digit …

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Worried about Future Inflation? Don’t Be. Just Prepare and Prosper

Lorimer Wilson (July 14th, 2009) Writes:

As the table below depicts, commodity related stocks and their associated warrants are wasting little time recouping the major losses they incurred in 2008 and are already up 30% and 74%, respectively, YTD, even though they are currently suffering from the summer doldrums.

What is most impressive is that all this is being accomplished without inflation (we are presently experiencing marginal deflation), without a major increase in the price of gold (it is only up 3% YTD and down 4% over the past month) or other commodities and without a declining U.S. dollar In fact, the USD is actually up 5.3% YTD vis-à-vis the Canadian dollar in which many of the commodity related stocks are denominated.

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