We generally prefer investment funds over individual stocks to minimize investment selection risk (focusing more on asset allocation as the greater issue).   However, when we do look at individual stocks, we focus on quality companies with financial strength, limited leverage, solid cash flow, and growing sales and dividends.

This short list consists of companies that  are candidates for consideration.  If you are a do-it-yourself investor who prefers individual stocks; and you have a non-speculative, conservative approach, this list may be worth researching further.

We identified those companies that S&P rated B+ or better for earnings and dividend strength, and which paid dividends continuously for at least 10 years.  Subsequently, we ran that list through a fundamental filter (described below) to arrive at this list of six prospects.

These are not recommendations for purchase, but they are a list that has been “worked over” a bit from the data angle.  We have not made

The US Labor Department announced yesterday that the unemployment rate had risen to a 26-year high of 10.2% in October - an increase of 0.4 of a percentage point, even though the labor force contracted as well.

The graph below, courtesy of Chart of the Day, illustrates the unemployment rate since 1948 and provides some perspective on the current state of the labor market. As shown, Friday’s increase above the 10% level marks only the second time such a move has occurred during the post-World War II era.

Closer analysis of the chart indicates that the unemployment rate is a lagging indicator, peaking after the end of a recession. However, in the case of the previous two recessions the rate only peaked several quarters later following an improvement in real GDP. Asha Bangalore (Northern Trust) said: “A similar case is projected for the current recovery.

“I think stocks are topping out, commodities are topping out and the dollar is making a bottom,” says Robert Prechter, president of Elliott Wave International and author of “Conquer the Crash“.

According to Yahoo Finance - Tech Ticker, Prechter also makes the seemingly counterintuitive argument that the dollar will rally because there’s so much debt, rather than being doomed because of it. “If the economy turns sour again in 2010, as he predicts, Prechter says the dollar will benefit as more dollar-denominated IOUs get called by creditors seeking to shore up their own balance sheets, as was the case in 2008.

“A sustained rally in the dollar would have devastating consequences for stocks, emerging-market assets, high-yield debt and commodities. But gold might be the exception, because it represents ‘real money’ and more people are questioning the global paper money system, Prechter says.”

Don Coxe has updated his popular webcast on November 6. You can access the recording here or from the sidebar of the Investment Postcards site (the column on the right-hand side) by clicking on Don’s photograph.

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This post provides links to a number of interesting articles I have read over the past few days that you may also enjoy.

• Economist.com: Jobs gloom, with glimmers, November 6, 2009. America’s jobless rate passes 10% but the job market should start to improve soon.

• Paul Krugman (The New York Times): Why not a WPA? November 6, 2009. A question I’m occasionally asked at public events is, why aren’t we creating jobs with a WPA-type program? It’s a very good question. As it is, job-creation efforts are generally indirect. Tax cuts and transfers in the hope that people will spend them; aid to state governments in the hope of averting layoffs. Even infrastructure spending is routed through private contractors. You can make a pretty good case that just employing a lot of people directly would be a lot more cost-effective.

•

The video clips below provide a handy summary of the reports expected on the economic, financial and corporate front around the globe during the week ahead.

US: Retailers, health care

There still are 60 S&P companies left to report earnings, but markets will kick off against a backdrop of weaker jobs and mixed data. Major retail names will release results, and there’s also key legislation from Capitol Hill.

Europe: Barclays, Vodafone, A-B InBev

As telecom operators report results, Spain will be one of the main markets investors focus on. Barclays and A-B InBev also will report third-quarter results.

Asia: Economic data front and center

Chinese economic data will be front and center in Asia. Beijing will report inflation and trade

Source: Gary Markstein, Comics.com, November 5, 2009.

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The October edition of the Reuters South African Survey of Economists has just been published. (The Reuters Econometer is a measure of economic sentiment drawn from a monthly poll of forecasts by leading economists in South Africa and abroad and presented in the form an index). The weightings used in the index are: GDP growth - 25%; CPIX inflation - 20%; Producer Price Inflation - 5%; Prime Interest Rate - 20%; 10-year bond yield - 5%; Rand-Dollar Depreciation - 25%.

The Reuters Econometer fell for a third consecutive month in October, falling to 235,60, its lowest level since September last year. Confidence in SA’s economy fell as demand and manufacturing capacity is seen taking longer to improve, as a result of the looming increase in power tariffs, which is expected to further

Baltimore-(TFN):Time to panic? If you are part of the Obama administration the answer is yes. If you are an American investor, hold off on the freaking out for at least another month or so.

With the nation’s unemployment rate officially in double-digit territory and the under-employed rate ready to the 20% mark, the politicians that promised bliss in the days ahead are eating their words today.

And that means Wall Street is eating its recent gains.

For nearly a month, the Dow has hovered around the 10,000 mark. After hundreds of billions of dollars were withdrawn earlier this year, it was relatively easy to put that money back to work and send the equities market higher.

But now that the economic data is showing facts of slower-than-expected expansion rather than “ideas” of growth, investors are forced to explain their logic. The Dow doesn’t want to budge from 10k.

So far, I’ve heard very

In my previous post, “CrudeOil To Kill The Market Rally, Economy?”, I analyzed the effect of crude prices on the markets. The charts clearly showed that $70 crude had an effect on the market, and $90 crude tanked it.

At that time, I mentioned that crude oil has broken out of a triangle pattern at around $75, and look to be heading much higher, with price targets around $96 for a 50% fibonacci retracement.

Since that time, crude oil has shot up past $80 per barrel, and has formed my favorite chart pattern of all. A bullish flag. Bullish flags are highly reliable patterns with good price predictability. Take a look at this video, and you’ll see the bullish flag predicts crude oil to hit $96.50, which coincides nicely with my prediction on