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Is Portugal Facing A “Shortage Of Japanese"?

Edward Hugh (May 13th, 2013) Writes:
“So, about the slow growth/debt connection: I’ve done a quick and dirty mini-RR for the period 1950-2007 ……focusing only on the G7……and if you look at it, you see that most of the apparent relationship is coming from Italy and Japan……And it’s quite clear from the history that both Italy and (especially) Japan ran up high debts as a consequence of their growth slowdowns, not the other way around.

The Suitcase Mood – Does Ukraine Face Population Meltdown?

Edward Hugh (May 7th, 2013) Writes:
Suitcase mood is a Russian website with travel and tourism content. The term is also a popular expression widely used within Russian culture to describe the state of mind which grips a voyager on the brink of a journey. The mood is often associated with a ritual which involves the departing person sitting, sometimes accompanied by family or friends, in the vicinity (when not actually on top of) 

Some notes on the Chechens and Chechen demography

Edward Hugh (April 22nd, 2013) Writes:
Last Monday's Boston Marathon bombings gave some most unattractive publicity to the Russian autonomous republic of Chechnya and the Chechen people, on account of the ethnicity of the alleged perpetrators, Dzhokhar and Tamerlan Tsarnaev. One thing that came out in their life stories was they way in which they recapitulated the 20th century demographic history of the Chechens, able summarized in

More on how the Irish find jobs in Toronto

Edward Hugh (March 19th, 2013) Writes:
The Irish diaspora is continuing to expand, as tens of thousands of Irish leave the Republic in the wake of the ongoing economic troubles. (I'm unaware of any specific trends regarding Northern Ireland; leave links here if you'd like.) Canada is taking on greater importance. An Irish Times blog post claims that three-quarters of Irish emigrants in 2011 went to the United Kingdom, Australia, and

On multicultural Cyprus

Edward Hugh (March 18th, 2013) Writes:
The latest stage of the ongoing Cypriot financial crisis, a haircut imposed on depositors in Cypriot banks, has been covered very extensively throughout the blogosphere and the wider news media. We can only be thankful, I suppose, that there hasn't been a general run on banks across southern Europe. (Pessimists would remind me, correctly, that there is still time.) One thing that has come up in

A brief note on Bricker and Ibbitson’s The Big Shift

Edward Hugh (March 11th, 2013) Writes:
Marginal Revolution's Tyler Cowen cited yesterday The Big Shift: The Seismic Change In Canadian Politics, Business, And Culture And What It Means For Our Future, by Canadians Darrell Bricker and John Ibbitson. Their thesis? The political, media and business elites of Toronto, Ottawa and Montreal ran this country for almost its entire history. But in the last few years, they have lost their power

The Great Portuguese Hollowing Out

Edward Hugh (March 8th, 2013) Writes:
With every passing day Portugal has less and less economy left, while fewer and fewer people remain to try to pay down the debt. As Portuguese President Aníbal Cavaco Silva once put it, "A country without children is a nation without a future." He was, of course, referring to his country’s ultra-low birth rate, which is just over 1.3 (Tfr) and has been below replacement level (2.1Tfr) since the

Notes on Venezuela

Edward Hugh (March 7th, 2013) Writes:
The death yesterday of Hugo Chavez after a long battle with cancer leaves the Venezuela at a turning point. What will come of Venezuela? Let's start by looking at the current state of the Venezuelan population. The president of the National Statistics Institute (INE), Elias Eljuri, informed this Friday that the preliminary results of the 14th National Census of Population and Housing, carried

Three notes on historical patterns of migration from Bulgaria

Edward Hugh (March 1st, 2013) Writes:
Edward Hugh's essay earlier this week at A Fistful of Euros, "The Shortage of Bulgarians Inside Bulgaria", got a non-trivial amount of attention, including linkage by Marginal Revolution's Tyler Cowen. (See also Economonitor which mirrors the post though not the comments, and, of course, here at Demography Matters.) Within the European Union, Bulgaria really does constitute an exceptional case:

The Shortgage of Bulgarians Inside Bulgaria

Edward Hugh (February 27th, 2013) Writes:
Oh, there's a hole in my bucket, dear Liza, a hole...... Wenn der Beltz em Loch hat - stop es zu meine liebe Liese Womit soll ich es zustopfen - mit Stroh, meine liebe Liese According to Angela Merkel, speaking in the German city of Mainz in mid February,  European countries struggling with the fallout of the euro-area debt crisis have much to learn from East Germany’s experience with economic


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