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[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]




As urea goes, so does QAFCO, Industries Qatar

Jason G. Wulterkens (November 7th, 2009) Writes:

According to Abdulla Salatt, chairman of the company’s fertilizer unit (QAFCO), Industries Qatar–the country’s largest firm by market cap–will increase production of urea (used as a nitrogen-release fertilizer) and related products to supply growing global demand with a specific focus on South America, and in particular, Brazil.  “We are thinking of sending more products to Brazil because it is a big agriculture country, consuming a lot of urea, and we see their appetite for urea opening up year after year,” Sowaidi told reporters.  The company is currently contemplating a proposed $610 million plant which would increase urea production to 5.6 million tons/year by 2012, up from the current rate of 3 million.  Upon completion the fertilizer unit would hold 15% of global urea production, say analysts.  Urea has the highest nitrogen content of all solid nitrogenous fertilizers in common use (46.7%).

The company overall is still reeling from recession,

...

Angola to open up new oil exporation

Daniel Broby (November 4th, 2009) Writes:
Angola plans to start exploring for onshore oil in the enclave of Cabinda sometime next month, according to state-owned oil company Sonangol. Sonangol will first carry out seismic studies in the regions of Necuto and Buco Zau to determine the existence of oil. Sonangol recently partnered with Esso to study the possibility of exploring for oil in the basin of River Kwanza, where studies had shown the existence of about 6mn barrels of oil. Earlier in the year, Sonangol said it was considering exploration in the Cassanje and Okavango river basins. Prior to the Angolan civil war, which began in 1975, Angola pumped around 80,000 bpd from the Kwanza river basin, but the war ultimately forced a halt in production.div class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3742382075154765669-512592349694270675?l=danfonds.blogspot.com'//div

Angola to

Daniel Broby (November 4th, 2009) Writes:
Angola plans to start exploring for onshore oil in the enclave of Cabinda sometime next month, according to state-owned oil company Sonangol. Sonangol will first carry out seismic studies in the regions of Necuto and Buco Zau to determine the existence of oil. Sonangol recently partnered with Esso to study the possibility of exploring for oil in the basin of River Kwanza, where studies had shown the existence of about 6mn barrels of oil. Earlier in the year, Sonangol said it was considering exploration in the Cassanje and Okavango river basins. Prior to the Angolan civil war, which began in 1975, Angola pumped around 80,000 bpd from the Kwanza river basin, but the war ultimately forced a halt in production.div class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3742382075154765669-8419825274210719535?l=danfonds.blogspot.com'//div

Competition, yield dilution may hamper Air Arabia in 2010

Jason G. Wulterkens (November 1st, 2009) Writes:

UAE-based budget carrier Air Arabia, the Arab world’s largest listed carrier, announced its intentions to build a new hub in Egypt that would offer connections to Europe, Africa and the Middle East, one month after formalizing a partnership with Egypt’s Travco Group, the Middle East’s largest travel and hospitality group.  “At a time when the global aviation industry is witnessing serious challenges as a consequence of the worldwide financial crisis, we continue to move forward with our strategic expansion strategy, as demonstrated by this important announcement,” said Air Arabia Chairman Sheikh Abdullah Bin Mohammed Al Thani.

Despite the airline industry’s overall close historical correlation with broad market indices, “budget travel” represents an industry subgroup that, from an investment standpoint, can be as good a defensive play as any medical and consumer product company, brewery or tobacco firm.  Air Arabia may be a case in point, having been named the

...

“New Normal” for Dubai means back to borrowing?

Jason G. Wulterkens (October 30th, 2009) Writes:

Dubai’s government returned to the open bond market upon a growing sense that the notoriously ‘profligate’ emirate–as at least one analyst has previously criticized it in comparison to its more steady, oil-fueled sibling Abu Dhabi–can be trusted not to default on its $80bn or so of outstanding debt. On the heels of last week’s proposed Euro Medium-Term Note (EMTN) program which seeks to raise 6.5bn, divided into four billion dollars in EMTN and 2.5-bn in Islamic bond issue, or sukuk, the government on Wednesday successfully placed nearly $2 billion in new five-year Islamic bonds–divided into both a dollar and dirham tranche–the biggest sukuk sale from the Gulf region this year. Pricing was set at 375 basis points plus/minus 10 points over mid-swaps for the dollar tranche, and with the same spread over three-
month Emirates Interbank Offered Rate, or EIBOR, used for the
 dirham

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Alcantra CIS paper fund launched amidst shaky environment

Jason G. Wulterkens (October 28th, 2009) Writes:

Euromoney reports the launch of London-based Alcantara Asset Management’s Russia and CIS Fixed Income Opportunities Fund, which will reportedly focus on relative value and long-only opportunities in the fixed income markets in Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan, and which will be lead by the firm’s founders, former JPMorganers Sergey Grechishkin and Andrei Taskin.  “Relative value”, a strategy which aims to take advantage of temporary mispricings between two related and often correlated securities, came to into question during the latest economic crisis, as “Black Swan” events in practice tend to exacerbate rather than minimize such pricing anamolies between assets.  However, the dual-strategy fits the current economic climate nicely, explained Grechishkin, which had trended higher for months but is on the cusp of what many feel is an imminent correction: ”Our actively-managed long strategies take advantage of trending markets when associated with economic recovery, as well as market positioning. Our relative value strategies generally benefit

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Frontier markets update

Daniel Broby (October 28th, 2009) Writes:
The MSCI World Index of advanced -nation equities has surged 65% from this year's low on March 9, while the MSCI Emerging Markets Index has leaped 96%. The Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index of 19 commodities has added 33%. br /br /Emerging markets have outperformed and have seen massive amounts of inflow. But when your main stream markets like Brazil (Bovespa +68%), China (Shangahai +64%), Russia (RTS +83%), South Africa ( Top 40 +24%), start to mature and look top heavy, investors will start looking towards 2nd tier and 3rd tier frontier markets that have been on the back burner. These frontier markets such as Ghana ( GSE -46%), Nigeria (NSE All Share -30%), Kenya (NSE -14%), Morocco (Madex -3.3%), should attract some fund interest and more inflow.div class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3742382075154765669-837458134324030207?l=danfonds.blogspot.com'//div

MyStockVoice.com

Jason G. Wulterkens (October 21st, 2009) Writes:

There is loads of great information and commentary on the entire gamut of emerging and frontier markets over at MyStockVoice.com, headed by a Facebook connection of mine, Paul Harper, whose knowledge of emerging telecoms in particular is probably second to none.

“Virgin” Libya on the cusp of massive tax reform-fueled FDI

Jason G. Wulterkens (October 21st, 2009) Writes:

Interesting piece from MEED vis a vis Tripoli’s $54bn, 20-year commitment to develop joint ventures with multinational firms in order to transform the Gulf of Sitre–and namely the oil-rich industrial cities of Marsa el-Brega and Ras Lanuf–into energy hubs founded on oil and gas processing and distribution, as well as into a resort destination.  The two cities lack proper downstream investment, but the potential returns on FDI are enormous, gushed a source from the U.S. engineering firm Fluor Corporation, which was commissioned to oversee the project:

“Libya is virgin territory. It is coming out of a long embargo so there are great opportunities. The energy cities have these anchor investments but also provide for secondary industries, which take products from the heavy industries and produce plastics, for example. They also provide work for industrial and construction services. There is a much greater, wider and more open opportunity for investment, from oil

...

Bright future for Orascom Construction?

Jason G. Wulterkens (October 17th, 2009) Writes:

In upgrading Orascom Construction Industry (OCI)–Egypt’s largest listed builder and also the country’s biggest producer of nitrogen fertilizers–local investment bank CI Capital noted that the firm’s net EBITDA is largely a function of fertilizer prices, which most analysts expect to rise up to a further 40% in 2010. “We believe OCI’s 2010 fertilizer margins will be supported by a number of factors, including fertilizer price increases, the establishment of strategic alliances with global fertilizer distributors and production capacity growth,” CI’s report stated, while forecasting an increase in earnings for the company from $427.8m in 2009 to $668.9m in the coming year.

Sticking with OCI, last month Citigroup name the company as one of its twelve “long-term” emerging market plays. “The construction company enjoys many long-term qualifications. Its construction division dominates approximately 2.5% of total developments under construction in the GCC region. The division also grows

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