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Donald Coxe – Investment Recommendations (November 2009)

Prieur du Plessis (November 17th, 2009) Writes:

The November edition of Donald Coxe’s Basic Points research report (subtitled “The Power of Zero”) has just been published. His investment recommendations, as summarized in this document, are listed in the paragraphs below, but I do recommend you also read the full report at the bottom of the post. (Also note that Donald’s weekly webcasts can be accessed from the sidebar of the Investment Postcards site.)

1. Remain underweighted in US equities-as a percentage of total equities within global portfolios, and as a percentage of assets in US balanced portfolios. Underweight US bonds in global portfolios.

The Obama long-term financial projections for the US are high risk and unsustainable. Forthcoming elections-or a currency crisis-could induce some discipline, but within the OECD, the US should probably no longer be accorded top ranking for bonds and stocks.

2. Within the US market, underweight US economy-related

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Words from the (investment) wise for the week that was (November 9 – 15, 2009)

Prieur du Plessis (November 15th, 2009) Writes:

“Words from the Wise” this week comes to you in a shortened format as I do not have access to my normal research resources while on the road in Europe. Although very little commentary is provided, a full dose of excerpts from interesting news items and quotes from market commentators is included.

While the Dow Jones Industrial Index and other benchmark indices reached 52-week highs last week and pleased Wall Street, the cartoonists reminded us that worrisome economic issues remained in Main Street …

15-11-09-01

Source: Jeff Parker, Comics.com, November 11, 2009.

The past week’s performance of the major asset classes is summarized by the chart below - a mixed bag, so to speak, with government bonds, equities, corporate bonds and gold closing the week in positive territory.

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Don Coxe webcast – updated (November 13, 2009)

Prieur du Plessis (November 14th, 2009) Writes:

Don Coxe has just updated his popular webcast - good news for his followers. You can access the recording here or from the sidebar of the Investment Postcards site (the column on the right-hand side) by clicking on Don’s photograph.

Did you enjoy this post? If so, click here to subscribe to updates to Investment Postcards from Cape Town by e-mail.

Commodity Companies Index (CCI) Up 214% YTD!

Lorimer Wilson (November 12th, 2009) Writes:

Up until now investors, analysts and newsletter writers have relied on the price performance of the commodities themselves (such as gold, silver, crude oil, etc.), the Reuters CRB Commodity Index or the HUI, XAU, GDM or CDNX indices to determine the health, performance and trends in commodities.

Fortunately, for all concerned, a new index has been introduced that provides a much more all-encompassing mix of companies associated with a wide variety of commodity-related products. It is called the Commodity Companies Index (CCI).

Unlike the large-cap centric HUI, XAU and GDM indices and the nano-cap centric and less commodity-oriented CDNX index, the CCI is broadly diversified across a wide range of commodities and company formats. The index consists of 35 commodity-related companies with associated warrants of at least 24 months duration that trade on the …

Old-fashioned commodities; old-fashioned strength

Chris Mayer (November 11th, 2009) Writes:

Chris Mayer (Penny Sleuth): “If you can tell me something else where the fundamentals are so attractive…I’d be happy to put my money there,” said Jim Rogers, the famed investor and self-made billionaire in a recent interview. “But I don’t know of any other place.”

What’s he talking about? Today, we take a look and invest right alongside his idea. And it should start to pay off with the arrival of the first swallows of spring in 2010. It’s also timely now — in this weak-kneed economy — because it has traditionally held up well even in when the economy is on the ropes. Even the Great Depression couldn’t put this thing down.

We start with simple truths. The world’s population has more than doubled since 1950 — from about 2.5 billion to 6.7 billion. By 2050, there will be more than 9 billion people on the

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Interview: Jim Rogers on gold, bubbles, commodites, equities, and Roubini

Prieur du Plessis (November 11th, 2009) Writes:

This is a guest contribution by Damien Hoffman, editor of the very popular Wall St Cheat Sheet blog.

Rogers is one of the most respected investors in the world. I had a chance to chat with him the other morning to get more details about some of his recent comments in the media …

rogersDamien Hoffman: Jim, you were in the media a few times last week and I want to follow up on a few points you made. You said on Bloomberg that Nouriel Roubini did not do his homework regarding the asset bubbles about which he is now warning. Can you explain what homework he did not do?

Jim: All of it. How can you talk about a bubble when assets such as

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Did China Buy Too Much Copper?

David Taggart (November 10th, 2009) Writes:

There is some interesting news out of China that they may in fact re-export some of their copper stockpiles.  Here is the link to the Bloomberg story “China May Re-Export Copper on Stockpiles.”   While not a rally killer by itself this is pretty damning evidence that a major part of the rally in commodities came from Chinese stimulus buying.  This was more bargain buying than an actual demand driven rally.  This could lead to a good sized move down as demand has not picked up inline with supply and now China is not only done buying but may even start to sell.

As you an see in the chart below copper has been in a steady uptrend since the end of 2008 and the move preceded the rally in other risk assets that started in March 2009.  The trend has been very consistent and is up about 130% in that

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Words from the (investment) wise for the week that was (November 2 – 8, 2009)

Prieur du Plessis (November 8th, 2009) Writes:

“Words from the Wise” this week comes to you in a shortened format as I am about to leave Cape Town for a visit to the colder environs of Switzerland and Slovenia. Although reduced commentary is provided, a full dose of excerpts from interesting news items and quotes from market commentators is included. Blog posting will be slow (and totally absent on some days) while I am on the road. The normal blogging service will be resumed on my return to Cape Town on November 16.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) maintained its extraordinarily accommodative monetary policy following its meeting on Wednesday. The communiqué had no surprises and said that the committee expected to keep the fed funds rate target in the 0-0.25% range “for an extended period”. As expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE) also kept interest rates unchanged

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Don Coxe webcast – updated (November 6, 2009)

Prieur du Plessis (November 7th, 2009) Writes:

Don Coxe has updated his popular webcast on November 6. You can access the recording here or from the sidebar of the Investment Postcards site (the column on the right-hand side) by clicking on Don’s photograph.

Did you enjoy this post? If so, click here to subscribe to updates to Investment Postcards from Cape Town by e-mail.

The week ahead

Prieur du Plessis (November 7th, 2009) Writes:

The video clips below provide a handy summary of the reports expected on the economic, financial and corporate front around the globe during the week ahead.

US: Retailers, health care

There still are 60 S&P companies left to report earnings, but markets will kick off against a backdrop of weaker jobs and mixed data. Major retail names will release results, and there’s also key legislation from Capitol Hill.

Europe: Barclays, Vodafone, A-B InBev

As telecom operators report results, Spain will be one of the main markets investors focus on. Barclays and A-B InBev also will report third-quarter results.

Asia: Economic data front and center

Chinese economic data will be front and center in Asia. Beijing will report inflation and trade

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